<%@LANGUAGE="VBSCRIPT" CODEPAGE="1252"%> Monthly Bulletin








           SO2 EA and NOx EA
           October 2004
October 2004 SO2 EA and NOx EA MPI HEADLINES
SO2 EA MPI Up 12.73% - Vintage 2004 NOx EA MPI Up 7.82%

What are the Cantor Environmental Brokerage SO2 EA and NOx EA MPIs?
 
The Cantor Environmental Brokerage Market Price Indices (MPIs) are prices that reflect current market conditions for Clean Air Act Title IV SO2, and Section 126/NOx SIP Call emission allowances (EAs). The MPI is an average of the following three numbers (where available) (Note: fees and commissions are not.

RECENT TRANSACTION PRICE
Prices from the most recent transactions (sales, swaps, and options) either executed by Cantor Environmental Brokerage and/or reasonably believed by Cantor Environmental Brokerage to have occurred. Also note that the MPI does not include transactions that are reported as retirements or facility changes of ownership because such transactions may not be reflective of current market conditions.

  Lowest Offer Price
Lowest price, reported to Cantor Environmental Brokerage, at which a seller is willing to sell.

Highest Bid Price
Highest price, reported to Cantor Environmental Brokerage, at which a buyer is willing to buy.

If you would like to receive this bulletin as an e-mail attachment in Adobe format please fax this to 203-662-3643 with your e-mail address listed below, or send an email to apaton@cantor.com.  
For More Information Call (203) 662-3638
19 Old Kings Highway South, Darien, Connecticut 06820
Fax (203) 662-3643

www.emissionstrading.com

Note: All information contained here is obtained by Cantor Environmental Brokerage from sources believed to be accurate and reliable. However, because of the possibility of human and mechanical errors, as well as other factors, such information is provided "as is" without warranty of any kind and Cantor Environmental Brokerage, in particular, makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness, or completeness of this information. Under no circumstance shall Cantor Environmental Brokerage have any liability to any person or entity for (a) any loss or damage in whole or in part caused by, resulting from, or relating to any error (negligent or otherwise) or other circumstance involved in procuring, collecting, compiling interpreting, analyzing, editing, transcribing, transmitting, communicating, or delivering any such information, or (b) any direct, indirect, special, consequential, or incidental damages whatsoever even if Cantor Environmental Brokerage is advised in advance of the possibility of such damages, resulting from the use of, or inability to use, any such information. The data and information contained herein are, and must be construed solely as statements of opinions and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, sell, or hold SO2 or NOx EAs. All prices are merely indications of interest, do not represent firm bids and offers, and their terms are subject to change without notice. NOWARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY, OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY SUCH DATA OR INFORMATION OROTHER OPINION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY CANTOR ENVIRONMENTAL BROKERAGE IN ANY FORM OR MANNER.

For information on trading SCAQMD RTCs and/or ERCs, SJVAPCD and BAAQMD ERCs, Illinois ATUs, ERCs, DERs, or Sewerage Facilities Charge Credits please visit or call 1-800-228-2955 ext. 1, 2, 4, 6, 7, 8, or 9. For information on trading HGA NOx Allowances, call 800-228-2955 ext. 13 or 14. For information on trading NOx Section 126/NOx SIP Call Allowances, and SO2 Allowances call (203) 662-3638 or 800-228-2955 ext. 6 or 12. For information regarding Greenhouse Gas Credits visit , or call 800-228-2955 ext. 10.



            October 2004
           CANTOR ENVIRONMENTAL BROKERAGE
           SO2 EA Market Price Index

Cantor Environmental BROKERAGE Market Price Index: $566.80

(Call 203-662-3638 for description)

  Bids* Offers* Trades MPI
Price/Volume 2,500 @ $560.00 2,500 @ $585.00 Not Listed  
Weighted Average $560.00 $585.00 $555.40 $566.80

 Immediate Settlement
    Best Prices ($/Allowance) Maximum Volume
Term Vintage Bid to Buy Offer to Sell Bid Offered
 1 Year Term  2004  $560.00  $585.00  2,500  2,500  Allowances
   2005  $557.82    2,500    Allowances
   2006  $556.36    2,500    Allowances
   2007  $547.40    2,500    Allowances
   2008  $522.20    2,500    Allowances

 Swaps
 
 
Swap Rates against vintage 2004 allowances
  2005 2006 2007 2008  
 Offer 0.39% 0.65% 2.25% 6.75%
Ratios for base years other than 2004 are available upon request.

  SO2 EA Market Beat

  The Cantor Environmental Brokerage SO2 EA
  Market Price Index increased by 12.73% this
  month from $502.80 in September 2004
  to $566.80 in October 2004.

 
 

            October 2004
           CANTOR ENVIRONMENTAL BROKERAGE
           NOx EA Market Price Index

BEST BIDS TO BUY   BEST OFFERS
2004 50 tons     $2,250/ton   2004 50 tons    $2,300/ton
2005 50 tons     $3,525/ton   2005 50 tons    $3,625/ton
2006 50 tons     $3,100/ton   2006 50 tons    $3,200/ton

 RECENT TRADE PRICES
 September 26, 2004 - October 25, 2004
 V04 for $2,050/ton x3  V06 for $2,800/ton  V04 for $2,200/ton  V06 for $3,200/ton  
 V04 for $2,025/ton  V06 for $2,800/ton  V04 for $2,250/ton  V06 for $3,150/ton x2  
 V04 for $2,050/ton  V04 for $2,150/ton  V05 for $3,550/ton  V07 for $2,875/ton x2  
 V04 for $2,025/ton  V05 for $3,500/ton  V05 for $3,600/ton x2  V07 for $2,850/ton x2  
 V04 for $2,050/ton  V05 for $3,475/ton  V06 for $3,050/ton  V04 for $2,250/ton  
 V05 for $3,350/ton  V05 for $3,450/ton x2  V06 for $3,100/ton  V04 for $2,300/ton  
 V05 for $3,375/ton  V05 for $3,4750/ton  V07 for $2,800/ton    
 V05 for $3,400/ton x2  V07 for $2,600/ton  V04 for $2,300/ton    
 V06 for $2,650/ton  V07 for $2,650/ton  V04 for $2,2250/ton    
 V04 for $2,075/ton  V06 for $2,950/tpy x2  V05 for $3,625/ton    
 V04 for $2,075/ton  V04 for $2,200/ton x2  V05 for $3,650/ton    
 V04 for $2,100/ton x3  V05 for $3,550/ton  V05 for $3,675/ton    
 V04 for $2,125/ton  V06 for $3,025/ton  V05 for $3,625/ton x2    
 V05 for $3,500/ton x2  V04 for $2,175/ton  V06 for $3,150/ton    
 V04 for $2,150/ton x5  V06 for $3,000/ton  V06 for $3,175/ton    

MARKET INDEX PRICE
   2004  $2,238/ton
  $175  3,716 tons trade this month  
   2005  $3,373/ton
  $186  1,600 tons trade this month  
 2006  $2,705/ton
  $406  1,040 tons trade this month  
   2007  $2,568/ton      $257  1,000 tons trade this month  
 
 

            October 2004
           CANTOR ENVIRONMENTAL BROKERAGE
           Market News

NOx Prices on the Rise

While the current supply of 2004 NOx allowances seems quite abundant, bullish sentiments for the near- and long- term future have caused NOx prices to rise this month. Several factors appear to be exerting an upward influence on prices, including: a) rising oil and natural gas costs have raised the likelihood of future, increased coal burns; b) uncertain NOx EA demand in 2005, as the Midwest participants are subject to their first full 5-month ozone season; c) uncertainty on the expected progressive flow control (PFC) number for 2005, especially as weather may play a more active role in 2005 than in 2004; d) the possibility of a short supply
  during the 2006 ozone season as compliance supplement pool (CSP) tons are no longer available; and e) implementation of EPA’s proposed CAIR potentially adding value to existing NOx allowances.

SO2 Prices Rise Too

With increased coal burns, and speculation that coal will remain the fuel of choice for at least the balance of the year, SO2 prices have continued an overall price increase, this month over last. While still range bound between $500 and $600, the price trends show an increase in the volume of trades above the $550 mark. Analysis of EPA’s 2003 Compliance Report released
  last month has also helped feed the price increase.

Deadline for NOx/Ozone Season Reconciliation Looms Near.

Trading of odd-lot volumes continued this month, as participants have continued with their NOx EA account reconciliation. Please keep in mind that all unit accounts for NOx must be trued up by November 30, 2004!


Craig Poler Joins Cantor

We are proud to announce that Craig Poler has joined us in our Connecticut office as Manager of Emissions, Fuels and Power Products. With over 15 years of experience trading emissions, electricity and fuels, Craig’s switch to the broker side offers our customers unique insight, guidance and viewpoints in trading emissions and energy products.

EMA to Hold Houston Meeting.


The Emissions Marketing Association, now known as the Environmental Markets Association, will hold a meeting from November 14-17, 2004 in Houston, Texas to review emissions and renewables markets. Turnout is anticipated by EMA to be quite high, with numerous sponsors already lined up. A preliminary agenda is available here.


For more information please call us at 800-228-2955.

 


 To Reach Cantor Environmental Brokerage Staff
 Call 800-228-2955 or Dial Direct:
 Josh Margolis
 San Francisco
 RTCs/ERCs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 1
 Bill Ross
 New York/San Francisco
 RECs
 800-228-2955 ext 7
 Andy Kruger
 Darien, CT
 ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 6

 Lauren Kisling
 New York
 ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 7
 Laurie Gage
 New York
 ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 7
 Christine Grandstaff
 Los Angeles
 RTCs/ERCs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 4
 Mike Hammond
 San Francisco
 RTCs/ERCs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 9
 Craig Poler
 Darien, CT
 ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 3
Diarmuid McGarry
San Francisco
Back Office Manager
800-228-2955 ext 3
 
Cantor Environmental Brokerage
19 Old Kings Highway South, Darien, Connecticut 06820
Tel. (203) 662-3638 Fax (203) 662-3643
www.emissiontrading.com