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September 25, 2003
SO2 EA and NOx EA MARKET PRICE INDICES
 
August 2003 SO2 EA and NOx EA MPI HEADLINES:
SO2 EA MPI Up 1.49%
Vintage 2003 NOx EA MPI Down 13.05%

What are the Cantor Environmental Brokerage SO2 EA and NOx EA MPIs?
The Cantor Environmental Brokerage Market Price Indices (MPIs) are prices that reflect current market conditions for Clean Air Act Title IV SO2, Ozone Transport Commission and Section 126/NOx SIP Call emission allowances (EAs). The MPI is an average of the following three numbers (where available) (Note: fees and commissions are not factored into the MPI):

  • Recent transaction price - prices from the most recent transactions (sales, swaps, and options) either executed by Cantor Environmental Brokerage and/or reasonably believed by Cantor Environmental Brokerage to have occurred. Also note that the MPI does not include transactions that are reported as retirements or facility changes of ownership because such transactions may not be reflective of current market conditions.
  • Lowest offer price - lowest price, reported to Cantor Environmental Brokerage , at which a seller is willing to sell.
  • Highest bid price - highest price, reported to Cantor Environmental Brokerage , at which a buyer is willing to buy.
Note: All information contained here is obtained by Cantor Environmental Brokerage from sources believed to be accurate and reliable. However, because of the possibility of human and mechanical errors, as well as other factors, such information is provided "as is" without warranty of any kind and Cantor Environmental Brokerage , in particular, makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness, or completeness of this information. Under no circumstance shall Cantor Environmental Brokerage have any liability to any person or entity for (a) any loss or damage in whole or in part caused by, resulting from, or relating to any error (negligent or otherwise) or other circumstance involved in procuring, collecting, compiling interpreting, analyzing, editing, transcribing, transmitting, communicating, or delivering any such information, or (b) any direct, indirect, special, consequential, or incidental damages whatsoever even if Cantor Environmental Brokerage is advised in advance of the possibility of such damages, resulting from the use of, or inability to use, any such information. The data and information contained herein are, and must be construed solely as statements of opinions and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, sell, or hold SO2 or NOx EAs. All prices are merely indications of interest, do not represent firm bids and offers, and their terms are subject to change without notice.  NOWARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY, OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY SUCH DATA OR INFORMATION OROTHER OPINION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY Cantor Environmental Brokerage IN ANY FORM OR MANNER.

For information on trading SCAQMD RTCs and/or ERCs, SJVAPCD and BAAQMD ERCs, Illinois ATUs, ERCs, DERs, or Sewerage Facilities Charge Credits please visit www.emissionstrading.com or call 1-800-228-2955 ext. 1, 2, 4, 6, 7, 8, or 9. For information on trading HGA NOx Allowances, call 800-228-2955 ext.  13 or 14.  For information on trading NOx OTC Allowances, Section 126 Allowances, and SO2 Allowances call (203) 662-3638 or 800-228-2955 ext. 6 or 12.  For information regarding Greenhouse Gas Credits visit www.CO2e.com, or call 800-228-2955 ext. 10.

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For More Information Call (203) 662-3638

19 Old Kings Highway, South, Darien, Connecticut 06820

Fax (203) 662-3643

www.emissionstrading.com

Cantor Environmental Brokerage SO2 EA Market Price Index
September 25, 2003

Cantor Environmental Brokerage Market Price Index: $183.59

(Call 203-662-3638 for description)

 

Bids *

 

Offers *

 

Trades

MPI

Price/Volume

2,500

@

$183.00

 

2,500

@

$185.00

 

Not listed

 

Weighted Average

   

$183.00

     

$185.00

 

$182.77

$183.59

Bid and offer for vintage 2003 allowances.

Immediate Settlement:

       

Best Prices ($/Allowance)

 

Maximum Volume

 

Term

 

Vintage

     

Bid to Buy

Offer to Sell

 

Bid

 

Offered

   

1

Year

 

2003

     

$183.00

$185.00

 

2,500

 

2,500

 

Allowances

1

Year

 

2004

     

$185.77

   

2,500

     

Allowances

1

Year

 

2005

     

$180.74

   

2,500

     

Allowances

1

Year

 

2006

     

$179.41

   

2,500

     

Allowances

1

Year

 

2007

     

$171.83

   

2,500

     

Allowances

Swaps:

Swap Rates against vintage 2002 allowances

 

2004

2005

2006

2007

Offer

0.25%

1.25%

2.00%

6.50%

Ratios for base years other than 2003 are available upon request

SO2 EA Market Beat - The Cantor Environmental Brokerage SO2 EA Market Price Index increased by 1.49% this month from $180.89 in August 2003 to $183.59 in September 2003.

 

Cantor Environmental Brokerage NOx EA Market Price Index

September 25 , 2003

 

BEST BIDS TO BUY


2003 50 tons $2,650/ton
2004 50 tons $2,500/ton
2005 50 tons $3,000/ton

BEST OFFERS TO SELL

                                         

2003 50 tons @        $2,850/ton
2004 50 tons @        $2,800/ton
2005 50 tons @        $3,200/ton

RECENT TRADE PRICES

August 26, 2003 - September 25, 2003

 

V03 for $3,000/ton x2 V03 for $2,300/ton V04 for $2,400/ton V03 for $2,700/ton x2
V04 for $2,600/ton x2 V04 for $2,300/ton V04 for $2,350/ton x2 V04 for $2,675/ton
V03 for $2,950/ton V04 for $2,200/ton V03 for $2,400/ton x2 V03 for $2,700/ton
V03 for $2,650/ton V03 for $2,150/ton V04 for $2,300/ton V04 for $2,625/ton
V03 for $2,600/ton V05 for $2,400/ton V04/05 for $2,350/ton V04 for $2,650/tpy
V04 for $2,500/ton x2 V03 for $1,975/ton V03 for $2,400 V04 for $2,600/ton
V04 for $2,400/ton V04 for $1,900/ton V03 for $2,350/ton V04/05 for $2,700/ton
V04 for $2,350/ton V05 for $2,000/ton V05 for $2,650/ton V05 for $3,000/ton x2
V05 for $2,850/tpy V04 for $1,850ton V03 for $2,550/ton x2 V05 for $3,050/ton
V04 for $2,400/ton V04 for $1,950/ton V03 for $2,600/ton x2 V03 for $2,750/ton
V03 for $2,625/ton x2 V03 for $2,300/ton V05 for $2,800/ton V05/07 for $2,000/ton
V04/05 for $2,225/ton V04 for $2,300/ton V03 for $2,550/ton V03 for $2,700/ton
V05/07 for $2,050 x4 V05 for $2,400/ton V03 for $2,600/ton x2 110 V04 for 98 06/07
V05/04 spread for $485/ton V05/07 for $1,800/ton V04 for $2,600/ton  

MARKET PRICE INDEX


2003 $2,691/ton - $404
2004 $2,585/ton - $53
2005 $2,972/ton +$444
2004-2006 $2,641.67  
2005-2007 $1,986.90  

As always Cantor Environmental Brokerage does not trade for its own account.  All allowances purchased in the auction or traded in the open market are for our clients.  It is Cantor Environmental Brokerage s policy to keep the identity of our clients and their positions in the market in strict confidence.

 

 

Cantor Environmental Brokerage Market News

September 25, 2003

May & June NOx Emissions Data Available; NOx Reacts, Then Corrects: On August 27, EPA published raw data from emissions sources for the months of May and June. Contained in the data are actual emissions for the first two months of the 2003 ozone season. Our initial tally shows emissions of approximately 44,200 tons, which is lower than emissions for the same period last year by approximately 20,000 tons. That represents a drop of 31% against a 17% decrease in available allowances (allocated) for this year. The market reacted bearishly, and vintage ‘03 prices dropped from $2,950 to trade as low as $1,975. Vintage 04's and ‘05s also traded lower, to $1,850 and $2,000, respectively. Only after new lows were reached did we see an up-tick to: $2,750/ton in vintage ’03; $2,600 in vintage ’04; $3,050 in vintage ‘05 . Compliance buying for true-up appears to be occurring in earnest this month, with irregular size lots trading hands.

Revised NSR Regulation Signed: As anticipated, a final, revised New Source Review (NSR) regulation was executed by EPA’s Acting Administrator. The revised regulation was prompted, in part, to clarify what constitutes a “Major Modification” within the meaning of the regulation. New or existing facilities (which make major modifications) in nonattainment areas must go through NSR permitting, which requires installation of the latest emissions control technology and techniques (Lowest Achievable Emission Rate {LAER}) as well as obtain emission offsets. The definition of what constitutes a major modification appears to maintain the status quo. Had a stricter definition been derived, additional emissions controls would have been triggered by maintenance, causing reduced emissions and, in turn, reducing SO2 and NOx EA demand. Lawsuits by a number of northeast states have been threatened, and are anticipated.

November 30, 2003 is NEW NOx Budget True-Up Deadline!: While NOx Budget sources have historically had until December 31 of the calendar year to balance actual emissions with NOx EAs (“true-up”) compliance accounts, 2003 changes the deadline. Compliance accounts must be trued-up by November 30 this year, and every year thereafter. Requisite true-up reports are also due by November 30. PLEASE MAKE NOTE OF THIS IMPORTANT CHANGE TO THE PROGRAM.

Live Prices and Daily MPI available at www.emissionstrading.com: Please note, you can review live prices and trades for SO2, NOx, Renewable Energy Credits, Emission Reduction Credits, RECLAIM Trading Credits, and other environmental products at www.emissionstrading.com. We have also added a feature that calculates the daily MPI, to better assist you to understand market trends. Registering for our website (there is no charge) gets you access to real-time prices; market information; and historical data.

To Reach Cantor Environmental Brokerage Staff Call 800-228-2955 or Dial Direct:

Josh Margolis

San Francisco

RTCs/ERCs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 1

Andy Kruger

Darien, CT

ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 6

Laurie Gage

New Jersey

NOx &SO2 EAs/RTCs/ERCs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 7

Robin Langdon

San Francisco

RTCs/ERCs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 2

Christine Grandstaff

Los Angeles

RTCs/ERCs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 4

Patrick Bartosh

Houston

NOx EAs/ERCs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 14

Mike Hammond

San Francisco

RTCs/ERCs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 9

Lauren Kisling

Darien, CT

ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 6

Alexa Paton

Darien, CT

ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 6

Diarmuid McGarry

San Francisco

Back Office Manager

800-228-2955 ext 3



For More Information Call (203) 662-3638

19 Old Kings Highway, South, Darien, Connecticut 06820

Fax (203) 662-3643

www.emissionstrading.com


© 2003 Cantor Environmental Brokerage, L.P., All Rights Reserved.