<%@LANGUAGE="VBSCRIPT" CODEPAGE="1252"%> Monthly Bulletin








           SO2 EA and NOx EA
           August 2004
August 2004 SO2 EA and NOx EA MPI HEADLINES
SO2 EA MPI Down 14.32% - Vintage 2004 NOx EA MPI Down 15.57%

What are the Cantor Environmental Brokerage SO2 EA and NOx EA MPIs?
 
The Cantor Environmental Brokerage Market Price Indices (MPIs) are prices that reflect current market conditions for Clean Air Act Title IV SO2, and Section 126/NOx SIP Call emission allowances (EAs). The MPI is an average of the following three numbers (where available) (Note: fees and commissions are not.

RECENT TRANSACTION PRICE
Prices from the most recent transactions (sales, swaps, and options) either executed by Cantor Environmental Brokerage and/or reasonably believed by Cantor Environmental Brokerage to have occurred. Also note that the MPI does not include transactions that are reported as retirements or facility changes of ownership because such transactions may not be reflective of current market conditions.

  Lowest Offer Price
Lowest price, reported to Cantor Environmental Brokerage, at which a seller is willing to sell.

Highest Bid Price
Highest price, reported to Cantor Environmental Brokerage, at which a buyer is willing to buy.

If you would like to receive this bulletin as an e-mail attachment in Adobe format please fax this to 203-662-3643 with your e-mail address listed below, or send an email to apaton@cantor.com.  
For More Information Call (203) 662-3638
19 Old Kings Highway South, Darien, Connecticut 06820
Fax (203) 662-3643

www.emissionstrading.com

Note: All information contained here is obtained by Cantor Environmental Brokerage from sources believed to be accurate and reliable. However, because of the possibility of human and mechanical errors, as well as other factors, such information is provided "as is" without warranty of any kind and Cantor Environmental Brokerage, in particular, makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness, or completeness of this information. Under no circumstance shall Cantor Environmental Brokerage have any liability to any person or entity for (a) any loss or damage in whole or in part caused by, resulting from, or relating to any error (negligent or otherwise) or other circumstance involved in procuring, collecting, compiling interpreting, analyzing, editing, transcribing, transmitting, communicating, or delivering any such information, or (b) any direct, indirect, special, consequential, or incidental damages whatsoever even if Cantor Environmental Brokerage is advised in advance of the possibility of such damages, resulting from the use of, or inability to use, any such information. The data and information contained herein are, and must be construed solely as statements of opinions and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, sell, or hold SO2 or NOx EAs. All prices are merely indications of interest, do not represent firm bids and offers, and their terms are subject to change without notice. NOWARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY, OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY SUCH DATA OR INFORMATION OROTHER OPINION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY CANTOR ENVIRONMENTAL BROKERAGE IN ANY FORM OR MANNER.

For information on trading SCAQMD RTCs and/or ERCs, SJVAPCD and BAAQMD ERCs, Illinois ATUs, ERCs, DERs, or Sewerage Facilities Charge Credits please visit or call 1-800-228-2955 ext. 1, 2, 4, 6, 7, 8, or 9. For information on trading HGA NOx Allowances, call 800-228-2955 ext. 13 or 14. For information on trading NOx Section 126/NOx SIP Call Allowances, and SO2 Allowances call (203) 662-3638 or 800-228-2955 ext. 6 or 12. For information regarding Greenhouse Gas Credits visit , or call 800-228-2955 ext. 10.



            August 2004
           CANTOR ENVIRONMENTAL BROKERAGE
           SO2 EA Market Price Index

Cantor Environmental BROKERAGE Market Price Index: $453.33

(Call 203-662-3638 for description)

  Bids* Offers* Trades MPI
Price/Volume 2,500 @ $430.00 2,500 @ $450.00 Not Listed  
Weighted Average $430.00 $450.00 $492.89 $453.33

 Immediate Settlement
    Best Prices ($/Allowance) Maximum Volume
Term Vintage Bid to Buy Offer to Sell Bid Offered
 1 Year Term  2004  $430.00  $450.00  2,500  2,500  Allowances
   2005  $428.32    2,500    Allowances
   2006  $427.20    2,500    Allowances
   2007  $420.32    2,500    Allowances
   2008  $400.97    2,500    Allowances

 Swaps
 
 
Swap Rates against vintage 2004 allowances
  2005 2006 2007 2008  
 Offer 0.39% 0.65% 2.25% 6.75%
Ratios for base years other than 2004 are available upon request.

  SO2 EA Market Beat

  The Cantor Environmental Brokerage SO2 EA
  Market Price Index decreased by 14.32% this
  month from $529.01 in July 2004
  to $453.33 in August 2004.

 
 

            August 2004
           CANTOR ENVIRONMENTAL BROKERAGE
           NOx EA Market Price Index

BEST BIDS TO BUY   BEST OFFERS
2004 50 tons     $1,950/ton   2004 50 tons    $2,050/ton
2005 50 tons     $3,300/ton   2005 50 tons    $3,400/ton
2006 50 tons     $2,600/ton   2006 50 tons    $2,700/ton
2007 50 tons     $2,400/ton   2007 50 tons    $2,475/ton

 RECENT TRADE PRICES
 July 26, 2004 - August 25, 2004
 V04 for $2,500/ton x2  V05 for $3,750/ton x2  V04 for $2,250/ton x2  V05 for $3,500/ton  V04 for $2,025/ ton
 V04 for $2,525/ton  V04 for $2,450/ton  V06 for $2,900/ton  V04 for $2,200/ton  V04/05 for $2,625/ton
 V04 for $2,475/ton  V04 for $2,425/ton  V07 for $2,650/ton x3  V04 for $2,150/ton  V04 for $2,000/ton
 V04 for $2,525/ton  V06 for $3,075/ton  V05 for $3,500/ton  V04 for $2,125/ton  V07 for $2,450/ton x 2
 V04 for $2,575/ton  V06 for $3,050/ton  V05 for $3,550/ton  V04 for $2,100/ton x2  V04 for $2,000/ton
 V04 for $2,600/ton x2  V06 for $3,000/ton  V06 for $2,925/ton x3  V04 for $2,050/ton  V04 for $2,025/ton
 V04 for $2,575/ton  V04 for $2,375/ton  V05 for $3,600/ton  V05 for $3,400/ton x2  
 V04 for $2,637.50/ton  V04 for $2,350/ton  V04 for $2,300/ton x3  V07 for $2,525/ton  
 V04 for $2,650/ton x4  V07 for $2,750/ton x2  V04 for $2,325/ton  V07 for $2,475/ton  
 V05 for $3,700/ton  V04 for $2,350/tpy x2  V07 for $2,600/ton  V04 for $2,100/ton  
 V04 for $2,600/ton x3  V06 for $2,950/ton x4  V04 for $2,225/ton  V04 for $2,075/ton x2  
 V04-06 for $3,110/ton  V04 for $2,250/ton x2  V04 for $2,200/ton  V04 for $2,050/ton x4  
 V04 for $2,500/ton x3  V04 for $2,200/ton x2  V04 for $2,150/ton x3  V04 for $2,075/ton  
 V05 for $3,700/ton  V04 for $2,250/ton x3  V06 for $2,800/ton x2  V06 for $2,700/ton  
 V04 for $2,500/ton  V04 for $2,225ton  V04 for $2,175/ton  V05 for $3,425/ton  

MARKET INDEX PRICE
   2004  $2,098/ton
  $387  5,450 tons trade this month  
   2005  $3,433/ton
  $222     940 tons trade this month  
 2006  $2,680/ton
  $442  1,350 tons trade this month  
   2007  $2,508/ton      $286     750 tons trade this month  
 

            August 2004
           CANTOR ENVIRONMENTAL BROKERAGE
           Market News

SO2 Falls a Bit


For the first time since November 2002, the Cantor Fitzgerald SO2 MPI has fallen. As of market close today, 440 was the last trade. Trade volumes for the month were ramatically lower, with relatively few trades (only approx. 75,000 tons transacted). The slowdown in volume and attendant price decrease could be attributable to mild weather; the wait for EPA’s release of emissions data; and August option expirations on the 16th of the month.
  Extrapolation Suggests
Approx. 200,000 Ton
Surplus After the 2004 NOx Ozone Season


The second quarter emissions data
mentioned earlier in this bulletin provides an opportunity to extrapolate and “guesstimate” the potential level of 2004 ozone NOx emissions for the entire season (through September 30). Approximately 136,000 tons have been consumed for the May – June period.
  Extrapolation of the May – June data suggests total ozone season emissions of approximately 475,000 to 525,000 tons. The 2004 allocation is approximately 504,000 tons. With the addition of compliance supplement pool (CSP) and leftover vintage 2003 tons, it appears that approximately 200,000 tons could remain after this year’s ozone season. Of course it is a little early to know with any great certainty
what the actual data will show, but
this preliminary data provides an
opportunity for market participants
to make their own projections.


EPA Announces Release of Second
Quarter Emissions Data; Provides Glimpse of Potential Annual SO2 Emissions and NOx Ozone Season Emissions

EPA updated the preliminary second quarter emissions data on August 20, 2004. A total of approx. 136,000 tons of NOx emissions were emitted for the months of May and June for OTC states, and May 31 to June 30 for the Midwest states (the relevant measuring periods for ozone season compliance). Extrapolation of this data suggests this year’s total ozone emissions will be approximately 475,000 to 525,000 tons. Of note is that the Midwest states’ sources dramatically decreased their June emissions when compared with respective May emissions. NOx date may be viewed here.

With regard to SO2, preliminary data shows an emissions increase of approximately 20,000 tons. This figure reflects a continuing trend of a decreasing SO2 emissions bank, with approximately 1,000,000 banked tons being retired per year. SO2 data may be viewed here.



For more information please call us at 800-228-2955.



Cantor Environmental Brokerage
19 Old Kings Highway South, Darien, Connecticut 06820
Tel. (203) 662-3638 Fax (203) 662-3643
www.emissiontrading.com

 
EMA Conference Scheduled for September 19-22, 2004 in Toronto


The Emissions Marketing Association (EMA) has announced that its Fall 2004 Meeting will be held at the Marriott Toronto, Eaton Centre, Toronto, Canada on September 19-22, 2004. A tentative conference agenda may be found online at www.emissions.org/conferences/fallconference04/





 To Reach Cantor Environmental Brokerage Staff
 Call 800-228-2955 or Dial Direct:
 Josh Margolis
 San Francisco
 RTCs/ERCs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 1
 Bill Ross
 New York/San Francisco
 RECs
 800-228-2955 ext 7
 Andy Kruger
 Darien, CT
 ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 6
 Alexa Paton
 Darien, CT
 ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 6
 Laurie Gage
 New York
 ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 7
 Lauren Kisling
 New York
 ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 7
 Mike Hammond
 San Francisco
 RTCs/ERCs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 9
 Christine Grandstaff
 Los Angeles
 RTCs/ERCs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 4
 Diarmuid McGarry
San Francisco
 Back Office Manager
 800-228-2955 ext 3