July 25, 2002
SO2 and OTC NOxMARKET PRICE INDICES
 

July 2002 SO2 EA and NOx EA MPI HEADLINES:
SO2 EA MPI Down 6.08%
Vintage 2002 NOx EA MPI Down 5.39%

What are the Cantor Environmental Brokerage SO2 and NOx MPIs?
The Cantor Environmental Brokerage Market Price Indices (MPIs) are prices that reflect current market conditions for Clean Air Act Title IV SO2 and Ozone Transport Commission NOx emission allowances (EAs). The MPI is an average of the following three numbers (where available) (Note: fees and commissions are not factored into the MPI):

  • Recent price - prices from the most recent transactions (sales, swaps, and options) either executed by Cantor Environmental Brokerage and/or reasonably believed by Cantor Environmental Brokerage to have occurred. Also note that the MPI does not include transactions that are reported as retirements or facility changes of ownership because such transactions may not be reflective of current market conditions.
  • Lowest offer price - lowest price, reported to Cantor Environmental Brokerage , at which a seller is willing to sell.
  • Highest bid price - highest price, reported to Cantor Environmental Brokerage , at which a buyer is willing to buy.
Note: All information contained here is obtained by Cantor Environmental Brokerage from sources believed to be accurate and reliable. However, because of the possibility of human and mechanical errors, as well as other factors, such information is provided "as is" without warranty of any kind and Cantor Environmental Brokerage , in particular, makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness, or completeness of this information. Under no circumstance shall Cantor Environmental Brokerage have any liability to any person or entity for (a) any loss or damage in whole or in part caused by, resulting from, or relating to any error (negligent or otherwise) or other circumstance involved in procuring, collecting, compiling interpreting, analyzing, editing, transcribing, transmitting, communicating, or delivering any such information, or (b) any direct, indirect, special, consequential, or incidental damages whatsoever even if Cantor Environmental Brokerage is advised in advance of the possibility of such damages, resulting from the use of, or inability to use, any such information. The data and information contained herein are, and must be construed solely as statements of opinions and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, sell, or hold SO2 or NOx EAs. All prices are merely indications of interest, do not represent firm bids and offers, and their terms are subject to change without notice. NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY, OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY SUCH DATA OR INFORMATION OROTHER OPINION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY Cantor Environmental Brokerage IN ANY FORM OR MANNER.

For information on trading SCAQMD RTCs and/or ERCs, SJVAPCD and BAAQMD ERCs, Illinois ATUs, ERCs, DERs, or Sewerage Facilities Charge Credits please visit www.emissionstrading.com or call 1-800-228-2955 ext. 1, 2, 4, 6, 7, or 9. For information on trading HGA NOx Allowances, call 800-228-2955 ext. 13. For information on trading NOx OTC Allowances, Section 126 Allowances, and SO2 Allowances call (203) 662-3638 or 800-228-2955 ext. 6. For information regarding Greenhouse Gas Credits visit www.CO2e.com, or call 800-228-2955 ext. 10.


For More Information Call (203) 662-3638 Old Kings Highway, South, Darien, Connecticut 06820Fax (203) 662-3643
www.emissionstrading.com

Cantor Environmental Brokerage SO2 Market Price Index and News

Cantor Environmental Brokerage MARKET PRICE INDEX:
$146.47
(Call 203-662-3638 for description)

 

Bids *

 

Offers *

 

Trades

MPI

Price/Volume

2,500

@

$145.00

 

2,500

@

$152.00

 

Not listed

 

Weighted Average

   

$145.00

     

$152.00

 

$142.41

$146.47

Bid and offer for vintage 2002 allowances.

Immediate Settlement:
       

Best Prices ($/Allowance)

 

Maximum Volume

 

Term

 

Vintage

     

Bid to Buy

Offer to Sell

 

Bid

 

Offered

   

Year

 

2002

     

$145.00

$152.00

 

2,500

 

2,500

 

Allowances

Year

 

2003

     

$144.63

   

2,500

     

Allowances

Year

 

2004

     

$143.20

   

2,500

     

Allowances

Year

 

2005

     

$142.16

   

2,500

     

Allowances

Year

 

2006

     

$136.79

   

2,500

     

Allowances


Swaps:

Swap Rates against vintage 2002 allowances

 

2003

2004

2005

2006

Offer

0.25%

1.25%

2.00%

6.50%

Ratios for base years other than 2002 are available upon request

SO2 EA Market Beat -- The Cantor Environmental Brokerage SO2 EA Market Price Index decreased by 6.08% this month from $155.95 in June 2002 to $146.47 in July 2002.

Cantor Environmental Brokerage NOx EA Market Price Index and News
July 25, 2002
BEST BIDS TO BUY

1999 
2000
2001
2002 
2003
2004
2005

50 tons   
100 tons
100 tons 
100 tons
50 tons
50 tons
50 tons  
@         $400/ton
@         $530/ton
@         $640/ton

@         $650/ton

@         not listed
@         not listed
@         not listed
BEST OFFERS TO SELL

1999
2000
2001
2002 
2003
2004
2005

50 tons
100 tons 
100 tons   
100 tons
50 tons
50 tons 
50 tons
@         $500/ton
@         $550/ton
@         $660/ton
@         $690/ton
@         not listed
@         $4,500/ton
@         not listed
RECENT TRADE PRICES
June 26, 2002-July 25, 2002
V02 for $725/ton
V02 for $700/ton
V03 for $4,875/ton
V01 for $700/ton
V02 for $695/ton x 2
V02 for $650/ton x 2
V02 for $690/ton
V99 for $500/ton
V02 for $660/ton x 2
V02 for $700/ton
V00 for $670/ton
V01 for $660/ton
V03 for $4,650/ton
V02 for $675/ton
V02 for $675/ton x 2
V02 for $695/ton
V03 for $4,675/ton
V01 for $650/ton
V99 for $500/ton
V02 for $675/ton
V02 for $650/ton
V01 for $695/ton x 2
V03 for $4,750/ton
V02 for $640/ton
V02 for $710/ton x 2
V02 for $650/ton x 2
V01 for $630/ton
V03/05 for $4,200/tpy
V00 for $535/ton
 MARKET PRICE INDEX
1999 
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2003-2005
2003-2007
2004-2005
2004-2007
$507/ton
$571/ton
$653/ton
$668/ton
$4,683/ton
not listed
$4,200/ton
not listed
not listed
not listed
down $17
down $114
down $71
down $86
down $10
na
na
na
na
na

As always Cantor Environmental Brokerage does not trade for its own account. All allowances purchased in the auction or traded in the open market are for our clients. It is Cantor Environmental Brokerage 's policy to keep the identity of our clients and their positions in the market in strict confidence.

New York Funds '05 NOx Allowances
New York this month funded vintage 2005 NOx emission allowance accounts for its sources. This is nice news, as such funding provides liquidity and certainty.

It's Hot Out There
Sellers’ prayers were answered, in part, by this month’s heat and humidity. While prices were still impacted by other factors (and thus did not trend dramatically upward), volumes of NOx allowances purchased were up, and covering of shorts was occurring this month. SO2 experienced a bit of related activity, until a price standoff recently ensued (see below).

What's Up In Illinois?
Illinois has expressed its continued dismay with U.S. EPA’s (US EPA) explanation of the “growth factors” used in the NOx SIP Call. In fact, Illinois has gone so far as to say that it may sue US EPA. Such a suit could jeopardize implementation of the NOx SIP call in 2004 in Illinois, and possibly the balance of the Midwest states. This would be quite an unfortunate outcome, as numerous sources in the Midwest have undertaken to install significant, costly, emissions control equipment. Cost recovery and/or emissions decreases would likely be impacted if NOx SIP Call implementation is further delayed in Illinois and/or other Midwest states.

SO2 Prices Find a New Bottom and Recover
Continuing a rather volatile trend, SO2 emission allowances dipped into the $130s/ton-range, before recovering and settling out in the $140s/ton-range. Lots of buyers appeared as the prices slid into the $130s, thus causing the return upward in price. At this point, sellers are holding out for the $150s/ton and the buyers are looking for the $130s/ton. This standoff has caused limited volumes of SO2 to trade in the $140s over the past several days.

Correction
In last month’s MPI, we provided some information regarding Maryland’s plan for NOx allowances. After speaking with the Maryland Department of the Environment, this information is now null and void. A new regulation will be coming out within the next few weeks, but the Maryland Department of the Environment is not permitted to comment on it’s content.


Greenhouse Gas Reductions Portfolio:

Cantor Environmental Brokerage sister company, assists companies to hedge their greenhouse gas exposure and potential limitations on their ability to emit greenhouse gases. CO2e.com experts provide risk managers with options to create a diverse portfolio of greenhouse gas reductions and offsets. Transactions include simple purchases and sales to structured options transactions. CO2e.com currently represents a diverse family of reductions including: (a) Renewable energy, energy efficiency and land-use projects expected to be eligible for credit under the Clean Development Mechanism in South and Central America, Asia, and Africa; (b) Renewable energy, energy efficiency, methane capture and recovery, and land-use projects in Australia, Canada, and Europe; and (c) Renewable energy, land-use, and methane capture and recovery projects in the United States. Prices vary but range from $1.00 - $2.00 per ton CO2 equivalent and increase up to $8.00 depending on vintage year, risk guarantees, volume, and contract structure. Options prices are according to structure.

For details call Corinne Boone at 416-350-2177 or 800-228-2955 ext. 10.
www.co2e.com


To Reach Cantor Environmental Brokerage or Cantor Environmental Brokerage Staff Call 800-228-2955 or Dial Direct:

Josh Margolis

San Francisco

RTCs/ERCs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 1

Andy Kruger

Darien, CT

ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 6

Laurie Gage

New Jersey

NOx &SO2 EAs/RTCs/ERCs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 7

Robin Langdon

San Francisco

RTCs/ERCs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 2

Christine Grandstaff

Los Angeles

RTCs/ERCs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 4

Patrick Bartosh

Houston

NOx EAs/ERCs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 13

Mike Hammond

San Francisco

RTCs/ERCs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 9

Lauren Kisling

Darien, CT

ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 6

Alexa Paton

Darien, CT

ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 6

Lori Oshiro

San Francisco

Cantor Environmental Brokerage Office Mgr / Web Administrator

800-228-2955 ext 5

Mica Larimer

San Francisco

Cantor Environmental Brokerage Assist. Admin - west coast

800-228-2955 ext 3

For More Information Call (203) 662-3638 -- 19 Old Kings Highway, South, Darien, Connecticut 06820 -- Fax (203) 662-3643
www.emissionstrading.com

© 2002 Cantor Environmental Brokerage, L.P., All Rights Reserved.
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