<%@LANGUAGE="VBSCRIPT" CODEPAGE="1252"%> Monthly Bulletin








           SO2 EA and NOx EA
           May 2004
May 2004 SO2 EA and NOx EA MPI HEADLINES
SO2 EA MPI Up 28.50% - Vintage 2004 NOx EA MPI Up 13.29%

What are the Cantor Environmental Brokerage SO2 EA and NOx EA MPIs?
 
The Cantor Environmental Brokerage Market Price Indices (MPIs) are prices that reflect current market conditions for Clean Air Act Title IV SO2, and Section 126/NOx SIP Call emission allowances (EAs). The MPI is an average of the following three numbers (where available) (Note: fees and commissions are not.

RECENT TRANSACTION PRICE
Prices from the most recent transactions (sales, swaps, and options) either executed by Cantor Environmental Brokerage and/or reasonably believed by Cantor Environmental Brokerage to have occurred. Also note that the MPI does not include transactions that are reported as retirements or facility changes of ownership because such transactions may not be reflective of current market conditions.

  Lowest Offer Price
Lowest price, reported to Cantor Environmental Brokerage, at which a seller is willing to sell.

Highest Bid Price
Highest price, reported to Cantor Environmental Brokerage, at which a buyer is willing to buy.


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  For More Information Call (203) 662-3638
19 Old Kings Highway South, Darien, Connecticut 06820
Fax (203) 662-3643

www.emissionstrading.com

Note: All information contained here is obtained by Cantor Environmental Brokerage from sources believed to be accurate and reliable. However, because of the possibility of human and mechanical errors, as well as other factors, such information is provided "as is" without warranty of any kind and Cantor Environmental Brokerage, in particular, makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness, or completeness of this information. Under no circumstance shall Cantor Environmental Brokerage have any liability to any person or entity for (a) any loss or damage in whole or in part caused by, resulting from, or relating to any error (negligent or otherwise) or other circumstance involved in procuring, collecting, compiling interpreting, analyzing, editing, transcribing, transmitting, communicating, or delivering any such information, or (b) any direct, indirect, special, consequential, or incidental damages whatsoever even if Cantor Environmental Brokerage is advised in advance of the possibility of such damages, resulting from the use of, or inability to use, any such information. The data and information contained herein are, and must be construed solely as statements of opinions and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, sell, or hold SO2 or NOx EAs. All prices are merely indications of interest, do not represent firm bids and offers, and their terms are subject to change without notice. NOWARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY, OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY SUCH DATA OR INFORMATION OROTHER OPINION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY CANTOR ENVIRONMENTAL BROKERAGE IN ANY FORM OR MANNER.

For information on trading SCAQMD RTCs and/or ERCs, SJVAPCD and BAAQMD ERCs, Illinois ATUs, ERCs, DERs, or Sewerage Facilities Charge Credits please visit or call 1-800-228-2955 ext. 1, 2, 4, 6, 7, 8, or 9. For information on trading HGA NOx Allowances, call 800-228-2955 ext. 13 or 14. For information on trading NOx Section 126/NOx SIP Call Allowances, and SO2 Allowances call (203) 662-3638 or 800-228-2955 ext. 6 or 12. For information regarding Greenhouse Gas Credits visit , or call 800-228-2955 ext. 10.



            May 2004
           CANTOR ENVIRONMENTAL BROKERAGE
           SO2 EA Market Price Index

Cantor Environmental BROKERAGE Market Price Index: $361.11

(Call 203-662-3638 for description)

  Bids* Offers* Trades MPI
Price/Volume 2,500 @ $375.00 2,500 @ $385.00 Not Listed  
Weighted Average $375.00 $385.00 $323.33 $361.11

 Immediate Settlement
    Best Prices ($/Allowance) Maximum Volume
Term Vintage Bid to Buy Offer to Sell Bid Offered
 1 Year Term  2004  $375.00  $384.00  2,500  2,500  Allowances
   2005  $373.54    2,500    Allowances
   2006  $372.56    2,500    Allowances
   2007  $366.56    2,500    Allowances
   2008  $349.69    2,500    Allowances

 Swaps
 
 
Swap Rates against vintage 2004 allowances
  2005 2006 2007 2008  
 Offer 0.39% 0.65% 2.25% 6.75%
Ratios for base years other than 2004 are available upon request.

  SO2 EA Market Beat

  The Cantor Environmental Brokerage SO2 EA
  Market Price Index increased by 28.50% this
  month from $281.02 in April 2004
  to $361.11 in May 2004.

 
 

            May 2004
           CANTOR ENVIRONMENTAL BROKERAGE
           NOx EA Market Price Index

BEST BIDS TO BUY   BEST OFFERS
2004 50 tons  $2,200/ton   2004 50 tons  $2,300/ton
2005 50 tons  $3,000/ton   2005 50 tons  $3,000/ton
2006 50 tons  $2,925/ton   2006 50 tons  $3,000/ton
2007 50 tons     $2,500/ton   2007 50 tons  $2,700/ton

 RECENT TRADE PRICES
 April 27, 2004 - May 25, 2004
   V04 for $2,000/ton  V06 for $2,975/ton  V05 for $3,050/ton  V04 for $2,200/ton
   V04 for $2,050/ton x2  V08 for $2,500/ton  V05 for $3,075/ton  V07 for $2,675/ton
   V06 for $2,900/ton  V06 for $3,000/ton  V04 for $2,225/ton  V07 for $2,650/ton
   V04 for $2,075/ton  V06 for $2,925/ton  V04 for $2,250/ton  V06 for $3,000/ton x3
   V04 for $2,050/ton  V06 for $2,950/ton x2  V03 for $1,900/ton  V07 for $2,650/ton
   V06 for $2,950/ton x3  V04 for $2,150/ton  V06 for $2,950/ton  V04 for $2,225/ton x2
   V08/09 for $2,225/ton  V04-06 for $2,700/ton  V06 for $3,000/ton x5  V04 for $2,250/ton x2
   V06 for $2,850/ton  V04 for $2,175/ton x2  V04 for $2,275/ton  
   V06 for $2,875/ton x2  V04 for $2,175/ton x2  V07 for $2,700/ton  
   V04 for $2,150/ton x2  V04 for $2,200/tpy x2  V04 for $2,000/ton  
   V05 for $2,950/ton  V06 for $2,950/ton x2  V06 for $2,975/ton  
   V06 for $2,900/ton  V05 for $3,050/ton  V06 for $2,950/ton  
   V04 for $2,175/ton x2  V06 for $3,000/ton  V04 for $2,250/ton  
   V04 for $2,200/ton x2  V04 for $2,200/ton  V05 for $3,075/ton  
   V06 for $2,950/ton x2  V07 for $2,700/ton  V06 for $2,925/ton  
         

MARKET INDEX PRICE
   2004  $2,225/ton
  $261    
   2005  $3,072/ton
  $239    
 2006  $2,961/ton
  $113    
   2007  $2,642/ton        
 

            May 2004
           CANTOR ENVIRONMENTAL BROKERAGE
           Market News

 EPA Publishes Supplemental CAIR Proposal   Also suggested was a plan to
States with a quantity of supplemental allowances to make up the difference. It was suggested that States would then be free to allocate these allowances as they see fit. EPA has also proposed regulatory text for a model multi-state cap and trade program for SO2 and NOx and is presently accepting comments to the proposal. A public hearing will be held on June 3, 2004 to hear oral testimony. Additional information may be obtained at www.epa.gov/interstateairquality/
   

On May 18, 2004, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency published a Supplemental Proposal for the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR). An interesting point to note is that under the original proposed rule, EPA required that from 2015 sources would retire allowances at a 3:1 ratio. Because retiring allowances at this ratio would have resulted in greater reductions than was required, EPA is soliciting comments on ways to address the differential. One suggestion put forward by EPA is that the ratio be changed to 2.86:1, however, this idea may result in some logistical problems for affected sources.


SO2 Future Prices Converge

EPA’s proposed CAIR includes provisions for discounting the value of SO2 in 2010 and 2015. The method by which the discounting will occur is in the use of allowances: a 2 for 1 allowance to emission ratio will be used from 2010 through 2014, while 2015 and later will see either a 3 for 1 or 2.86 for 1 ton-emitted ratio. The squeeze on allowances expected to be caused by CAIR, combined with the fact that 2009 and earlier vintage SO2 allowances would be permanently useable on a 1 for 1 basis, has added to the value of allowances up to Vintage 2009. Traders have recognized the potential for future value in the present-day allowances, especially if the CAIR is implemented.



For more information please call us at 800-228-2955.



Cantor Environmental Brokerage
19 Old Kings Highway South, Darien, Connecticut 06820
Tel. (203) 662-3638 Fax (203) 662-3643
www.emissiontrading.com

 
SO2 Sees Huge Rise

Prices have risen dramatically since last month. On April 26, 2004 (last month’s MPI date), spot traded last at $284; today’s close saw the last trade at $370. There are several converging factors contributing to the dramatic price change, including: a) increasing oil and natural gas costs, making coal a fuel of choice; b) greater-than-expected heat for this time of year c) unscheduled plant outages; d) concern over SO2 supply, as the bank continues to slowly decrease; e) Recent publications highlighting that SO2 control (scrubbing) costs exceed $600/ton; and f) CAIR, as proposed, will add value to present-vintage allowances at a later date (see, “SO2 Future Prices Converge” article on left).

 To Reach Cantor Environmental Brokerage Staff
 Call 800-228-2955 or Dial Direct:
 Josh Margolis
 San Francisco
 RTCs/ERCs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 1
 Robin Langdon
 San Francisco
 RTCs/ERCs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 2
 Andy Kruger
 Darien, CT
 ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 6
 Alexa Paton
 Darien, CT
 ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 6
 Laurie Gage
 New York
 ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 7
 Lauren Kisling
 New York
 ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 7
 Mike Hammond
 San Francisco
 RTCs/ERCs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 9
 Christine Grandstaff
 Los Angeles
 RTCs/ERCs/DERs
 800-228-2955 ext 4
 Diarmuid McGarry
San Francisco
 Back Office Manager
 800-228-2955 ext 3