May 25, 2000
SO2 and OTC NOx EA
Market Price Indices
 
MAY MPI HEADLINES
  • SO2 EA MPI Down 2.69%
  • Supreme Court Agreet to Hear EPA
  • NY Restricts SO2 EA Trading

What are the Cantor Fitzgerald SO2 and NOx MPIs?
The Cantor Fitzgerald Market Price Indices (MPIs) are prices that reflect current market conditions for Clean Air Act Title IV SO2 and Ozone Transport Commission NOx emission allowances. The MPI is an average of the following three numbers (where available) (Note: fees and commissions are not factored into the MPI):
  • Recent price - prices from the most recent transactions (sales, swaps, and options) either executed by Cantor Fitzgerald and/or reasonably believed by Cantor Fitzgerald to have occurred. Also note that the MPI does not include transactions that are reported as retirements or facility changes of ownership because such transactions may not be reflective of current market conditions.
  • Lowest offer price - lowest price, reported to Cantor Fitzgerald, at which a seller is willing to sell.
  • Highest bid price - highest price, reported to Cantor Fitzgerald, at which a buyer is willing to buy.

Note: All information contained here is obtained by Cantor Environmental Brokerage (Cantor Environmental Brokerage) from sources believed to be accurate and reliable. However, because of the possibility of human and mechanical errors, as well as other factors, such information is provided "as is" without warranty of any kind and Cantor Environmental Brokerage, in particular, makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness, or completeness of this information. Under no circumstance shall Cantor Environmental Brokerage have any liability to any person or entity for (a) any losss or damage in whole or in part caused by, resulting from, or relating to any error (negligent or otherwise) or other circumstance involved in procuring, collecting, compiling interpreting, analyzing, editing, transcribing, transmitting, communicating, or delivering any such information, or (b) any direct, indirect, special, consequential, or incidental damages whatsoever even if Cantor Environmental Brokerage is advised in advance of the possibility of such damages, resulting from the use of, or inability to use, any such information. The data and information contained herein are, and must be construed solely as statements of opinions and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, sell, or hold SO2 or NOx EAs. All prices are merely indications of interest, do not represent firm bids and offers, and their terms are subject to change without notice. NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY, OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY SUCH DATA OR INFORMATION OR OTHER OPINION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY Cantor Environmental Brokerage IN ANY FORM OR MANNER.


SO2 MARKET PRICE INDEX and NEWS:
(Call 212 938-4250 or 800-228-2955 ext 5 for description)

View SO2 MPI History

Bids Offers Trades MAY
MPI
Price/Volume 2,500 @ $132.00
========
2,500 @ $136.00
========
not listed
============
Weighted Average $132.00 $136.00 $134.00 $134.00
* Bid and offer for vintage 2000 allowances.

Immediate Settlement:
Period of Stream Best Prices ($/Allowance) Maximum Volume
Term Start End Bid to Buy Offer to Sell Bid Offered
1 year
1 year
1 year
1 year
1 year
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
$132.00
$131.02
$130.37
$128.78
$127.54
$136.00



2,500
2,500
2,500
2,500
2,500
$2,500



Allowances
Allowances
Allowances
Allowances
Allowances

Swaps:
Swap Ratio's against vintage 2000 allowances
2001 2002 2003 2004
Offer 0.75% 1.25% 2.50% 3.50%
Ratios for base years other than 2000 are available upon request.

DISCLAIMER: ALL PRICES ARE MERELY INDICATIONS OF INTEREST, DO NOT REPRESENT FIRM BIDS AND OFFERS AND THEIR TERMS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE. THE ABILITY TO EFFECT TRANSFER OF ALLOWANCES IS SUBJECT TO THE FINAL PROCEDURES GOVERNING THE TRANSFER OF ALLOWANCES WITHIN THE ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY'S ALLOWANCE TRACKING SYSTEM.

SO2 EA Market Beat
The Cantor Fitzgerald SO2 EA Market Price Index decreased by 2.69 % this month to $134.00 from $137.71 in April. Trading was very heavy this month. Natural buyers took advantage of the little dip in the market after New York Governor George Pataki signed a bill penalizing would-be sellers of New York emission allowances to Midwestern emitters. The trading range this month was $126.00 to $136.75. The last trade went off at $133.00

As always Cantor Fitzgerald does not trade for its own account. All allowances purchased in the auction or traded in the open market are for our clients. It is Cantor Fitzgerald’s policy to keep the identity of our clients and their positions in the market in strict confidence.

SO2 MPI Graph


NOx MARKET PRICE INDEX and NEWS:
(Call 800-228-2955 ext 5 or 6 for description)

View NOx OTC MPI History

BEST BIDS TO BUY 1999: 50 tons @ $450/ton
2000: 50 tons @ $625/ton
2001: 50 tons @ $500/ton
2002: 50 tons @ $500/ton
BEST OFFERS TO SELL 1999: 50 tons @ $625/ton
2000: 50 tons @ $725/ton
2001: 50 tons @ $650/ton
2002: 50 tons @ $600/ton
RECENT TRADE PRICES $675/ton (2000)
$685/ton (2000)
$625/ton (2002)
$650/ton (2002)
$625/ton (2001)
$675 x 2 /ton (2001)
$640/ton (01) 11/15 del
$570/ton (1999)
$725/ton (2001)
$575/ton (1999)
$800/ton (2000)
in chronological order
MARKET PRICE INDEX
1999 = $549/ton
2000 = $690/ton
2001 = $606/ton
2002 = $579/ton

Latest Litigation Woes Knock NOx EA And SO2 EA MPIs Down
The May NOx MPI stands at $549/ton for vintage 1999s, $690/ton for vintage 2000s, $606/ton for vintage 2001s, and $579/ton for vintage 2002s. Relative to April, all of the vintage NOx MPIs are down, and the SO2 EA prices saw some dramatic swings for the first time in many months. In general, the NOx EA market continued its lackluster approach, with many sources holding their allowances until the summer months’ effects on demand and lawsuit outcomes could be better assessed. SO2 EA volumes are discussed on the prior page, but continued to see substantial volumes change hands. What sent prices for NOx EAs down and SO2 EAs all over the map was the latest round of lawsuit news on May 22, 2000 (see following story -- “Supreme Court Grants Cert.”). Greater volumes are still anticipated as we cross the threshold into the ozone season and buyers focus their attention more keenly on their compliance needs.

NOx Graph


MARKET NEWS:


Supreme Court Grants Cert.
In May 1999, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia ruled in favor of the petitioners, American Trucking Association, et al., (i.e., not U.S. EPA) that EPA’s revisions to the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) should be vacated. Disagreeing with the Court of Appeals’ decision, EPA petitioned the U.S. Supreme Court for review of the decision (a petition of certiorari (cert.) is a necessary step before a case is heard by the Supreme Court; permission of the Court is necessary and is only granted where the Court believes that a case is ripe for review). EPA’s petition for cert. was granted on May 22, 2000. Thus, a bit more uncertainty hangs in the air. If EPA is successful, expect tighter emission standards. If EPA is not successful, it’s status quo for existing programs.

NY Governor Pataki And NY Legislators Restrict SO2 EA Trading
In a move labeled as dangerous for the environment by some environmental groups, the U.S. EPA, and even much of the New York Department of Environmental Conservation (NYDEC), on May 24, 2000 Governor Pataki signed into law a bill that restricts certain types of SO2 EA sales. Specifically, New York sources with SO2 EAs may not allow their allowances to be used in 14 upwind states. Governor Pataki and the state legislators approved the bill, stating that it will help minimize acid deposition in New York from upwind states. Troubling industry, the U.S. EPA, and NYDEC are reports such as EPA’s own presentation of numerous private analysis at www.epa.gov/acidrain/papers and a recent Environment Reporter article entitled, "Allowance Trading and Potential Hot Spots - Good News from the Acid Rain Program" Environment Reporter, page 954, May 12, 2000. Each report hails the SO2 EA program as a success, and in particular, notes that the SO2 EA program has not created “hot spots”, nor has there been a trend in the direction that allowances are traded. The Environment Reporter article even notes that the opportunity for trading has actually caused large emitters to reduce their emissions, thus reducing hot spots. Despite the testimony of many experts on the subject, the bill was passed, leading many to proffer that this act was nothing more than political grandstanding. The perceived zaniness of this bill sent the SO2 EA market on a wild ride down and then back up on May 24, 2000, with approximately a $7.00 spread on that day alone. By the end of the day May 24, 2000 and throughout the day May 25, 2000, the market appeared to have recovered and was on its usual course without such dramatic price swings.

Want to learn more about emissions trading?
Why not attend one of the many conferences featuring Cantor Fitzgerald speakers? Here's jsut one upcoming event that you may wish to check out:

  • AiC, Sydney, Australia - 6/13-15/00 – ET Programs Around the US and Risk Management Tools & Strategies


Quality Greenhouse Gas Reductions available: Over 20 million Sold or Optioned
Cantor Fitzgerald can assist risk managers in the creation of a portfolio of greenhouse gas reductions and offsets to address their exposure to potential restrictions in their ability to emit greenhouse gases.
For details call Carlton Bartels at 212-938-8700


Cantor Environmental Brokerage Staff and Phone Numbers...
Carlton Bartels, Managing Director New York GHG and All Products 212-938-4250
Josh Margolis, Senior Vice President San Francisco GHG and All Emissions 415-296-9359
Ed Murphy, Director New York Weather 212-938-2522
Robin Langdon, Vice President San Francisco RTCs/ERCs/DERs 415-296-9495
Andy Kruger, Vice President Darien, CT ERCs/NOx EAs/DERs 203-662-3638
Tony Gallagher New York Coal 212-938-4670
Ralph Mercurio New York Coal 212-938-4670
Jude Moussa, Associate New York SO2/NOx EAs 212-938-4250
Laurie Gage, Broker New York SO2/NOx EAs 212-938-4250
Christine Grandstaff, Associate Los Angeles RTCs/ERCs/DERs 949-597-0517



All Cantor Environmental Brokerage offices can be reached by calling 1-800-228-2955, or by E-mail at Cantor Environmental Brokerage@cantor.com


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