March 25, 2002
SO2 and OTC NOxMARKET PRICE INDICES
 

March 2002 SO2 and NOx EA MPI HEADLINES:
SO2 EA MPI Down 2.15%
NOx EA MPI Down 2.12%

What are the Cantor Environmental Brokerage SO2 and NOx MPIs?
The Cantor Environmental Brokerage Market Price Indices (MPIs) are prices that reflect current market conditions for Clean Air Act Title IV SO2 and Ozone Transport Commission NOx emission allowances (EAs). The MPI is an average of the following three numbers (where available) (Note: fees and commissions are not factored into the MPI):

  • Recent price - prices from the most recent transactions (sales, swaps, and options) either executed by Cantor Environmental Brokerage and/or reasonably believed by Cantor Environmental Brokerage to have occurred. Also note that the MPI does not include transactions that are reported as retirements or facility changes of ownership because such transactions may not be reflective of current market conditions.
  • Lowest offer price - lowest price, reported to Cantor Environmental Brokerage , at which a seller is willing to sell.
  • Highest bid price - highest price, reported to Cantor Environmental Brokerage , at which a buyer is willing to buy.
Note: All information contained here is obtained by Cantor Environmental Brokerage from sources believed to be accurate and reliable. However, because of the possibility of human and mechanical errors, as well as other factors, such information is provided "as is" without warranty of any kind and Cantor Environmental Brokerage , in particular, makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness, or completeness of this information. Under no circumstance shall Cantor Environmental Brokerage have any liability to any person or entity for (a) any loss or damage in whole or in part caused by, resulting from, or relating to any error (negligent or otherwise) or other circumstance involved in procuring, collecting, compiling interpreting, analyzing, editing, transcribing, transmitting, communicating, or delivering any such information, or (b) any direct, indirect, special, consequential, or incidental damages whatsoever even if Cantor Environmental Brokerage is advised in advance of the possibility of such damages, resulting from the use of, or inability to use, any such information. The data and information contained herein are, and must be construed solely as statements of opinions and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, sell, or hold SO2 or NOx EAs. All prices are merely indications of interest, do not represent firm bids and offers, and their terms are subject to change without notice. NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY, OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY SUCH DATA OR INFORMATION OROTHER OPINION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY Cantor Environmental Brokerage IN ANY FORM OR MANNER.

For information on trading SCAQMD RTCs and/or ERCs, SJVAPCD and BAAQMD ERCs, Illinois ATUs, ERCs, DERs, or Sewerage Facilities Charge Credits please visit www.emissionstrading.com or call 1-800-228-2955 ext. 1, 2, 4, 6, 7, 8, or 9. For information on trading HGA NOx Allowances, call 800-228-2955 ext. 13 or 14. For information on trading NOx OTC Allowances, Section 126 Allowances, and SO2 Allowances call (203) 662-3638 or 800-228-2955 ext. 6 or 12. For information regarding Greenhouse Gas Credits visit www.CO2e.com, or call 800-228-2955 ext. 10.

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For More Information Call (203) 662-3638.19 Old Kings Highway, South, Darien, Connecticut 06820Fax (203) 662-3643
www.emissionstrading.com

Cantor Environmental Brokerage SO2 Market Price Index and News

Cantor Environmental Brokerage MARKET PRICE INDEX:
$166.73
(Call 203-662-3638 for description)

 

Bids *

 

Offers *

 

Trades

MPI

Price/Volume

2,500

@

$163.00

 

2,500

@

$167.00

 

Not listed

 

Weighted Average

   

$163.00

     

$167.00

 

$172.19

$166.73

Bid and offer for vintage 2002 allowances.

Immediate Settlement:
       

Best Prices ($/Allowance)

 

Maximum Volume

 

Term

 

Vintage

     

Bid to Buy

Offer to Sell

 

Bid

 

Offered

   

1

Year

 

2001

     

$163.00

$165.00

 

2,500

 

2,500

 

Allowances

1

Year

 

2002

     

$162.59

   

2,500

     

Allowances

1

Year

 

2003

     

$160.98

   

2,500

     

Allowances

1

Year

 

2004

     

$159.80

   

2,500

     

Allowances

1

Year

 

2005

     

$153.05

   

2,500

     

Allowances


Swaps:

Swap Rates against vintage 2002 allowances

 

2002

2003

2004

2005

Offer

0.25%

1.25%

2.00%

6.50%

Ratios for base years other than 2002 are available upon request

SO2 EA Market Beat -- The Cantor Environmental Brokerage SO2 EA Market Price Index decreased by 2.15% this month from $170.39 in February 2002 to $166.73 in March 2002.

Cantor Environmental Brokerage NOx Market Price Index and News
BEST BIDS TO BUY

1999 
2000
2001
2002 
2003
2003-2004
2003-2007
2004-2006 
2004-2007 

50 tons   
100 tons
100 tons
50 tons 
100 tons
100 tons
50 tons
50 tons 
100 tons
@         $450/ton
@         $625/ton
@         $625/ton

@         $775/ton

@         $4,650/ton
@         $4,800/ton
@         not listed
@         $3,950/ton
@         not listed
BEST OFFERS TO SELL

1999
2000
2001
2002 
2003
2003-2004
2003-2007
2004-2006
2004-2007

50 tons
100 tons 
100 tons   
50 tons
100 tons
100 tons 
50 tons
50 tons 
100 tons 
@         not listed
@         $725/ton
@         $725/ton
@         $850/ton
@         $4,800/ton
@         $5,000/ton
@         not listed
@         4,300/ton
@         not listed
RECENT TRADE PRICES
February 25, 2002-March 25, 2002
V02 for $875/ton x 2
V02 for $850/ton x 3
V03/04 for $4650/ton
V03/04 for $4500/ton
V03/04 for $4700/ton x 2
V03/04 for $4,800/ton
V04 for $5,000/ton x 2
V02 for $900/ton x 11
V04/07 for $3,900/ton
V03/04 for $4,800/ton
V02 for $825/ton x 4
V04 for $5,000/ton x 2
V04 for $5,100/ton x 2
V03/04 for $4,900/ton
V01 for $750/ton
V04 for $4,900/ton
V00 for $670/ton
V03 for $4,650/ton
V04 for $4,900/ton
V03 for $4,675/ton
V02 for $885/ton
V04 for $4,900/ton
V04/06 for $4,050/ton
V02 for $875/ton x 3
 MARKET PRICE INDEX

2000 
2001
2002
2003
2004
2003-2004
2004-2006
2004-2007

$670/ton
$750/ton
$875/ton
$4,662/ton
$4,988/ton
$4,708/ton
$4,050/ton 
$3,900/ton
down $43
up $33
down $50
not listed
not listed
up $13
not listed
not listed

As always Cantor Environmental Brokerage does not trade for its own account. All allowances purchased in the auction or traded in the open market are for our clients. It is Cantor Environmental Brokerage 's policy to keep the identity of our clients and their positions in the market in strict confidence.

SO2 Breaks Out Of Its Range. Throughout much of this month the SO2 EA price remained firmly range bound in the $170 - $175 range. The March 15 option expiry went by as a "nonevent", with many $165 and $170 puts and $180 calls going unexercised. Trading in options remained brisk throughout March. And with the market not sure of which direction the price would trend, we saw an even distribution of Calls, Puts and Straddles, as traders hedged against the eventual break out of the price range.

That break came with just a few days to go until the EPA's annual SO2 Auction, with prices dropping to a low of $163/ton at the time of publication. Some traders feel that perhaps the auction won't be as heavily subscribed as the preceding couple of years and that the eventual clearing price may be lower than expected, hence the price decline.

All eyes will now be looking to the Auction, the results of which will be announced at 10.30am CST on Tuesday March 26th.

NOx Prices Slide. While current vintage NOx EAs have been mired in the $900s for quite a while, this month we saw vintage 2002 NOx EA prices falling as low as $825/ton. As fuel prices continue to rise and with hydroelectric power generation not looking very promising for this summer, this seeming paradox may reflect a decent buying opportunity. If we experience a hot summer in the Northeast and if fuel prices continue their trend, it is reasonable to expect demand for NOx allowances to rise.

In other news, the EPA is expected to announce the Flow Control Ratio for 2002 as being 0.27. This would mean that every 100 tons of banked allowances used for compliance this year would be equivalent to 63 tons of current vintage allowances. This figure is not yet official, and we will confirm the EPA's announcement in next month's MPI.


Greenhouse Gas Reductions Portfolio:

CO2e.com, Cantor Environmental Brokerage ' sister company, assists companies to hedge their greenhouse gas exposure and potential limitations on their ability to emit greenhouse gases. CO2e.com experts provide risk managers with options to create a diverse portfolio of greenhouse gas reductions and offsets. Transactions include simple purchases and sales to structured options transactions. CO2e.com currently represents a diverse family of reductions including: (a) Renewable energy, energy efficiency and land-use projects expected to be eligible for credit under the Clean Development Mechanism in South and Central America, Asia, and Africa; (b) Renewable energy, energy efficiency, methane capture and recovery, and land-use projects in Australia, Canada, and Europe; and (c) Renewable energy, land-use, and methane capture and recovery projects in the United States. Prices vary but range from $1.00 - $2.00 per ton CO2 equivalent and increase up to $8.00 depending on vintage year, risk guarantees, volume, and contract structure. Options prices are according to structure.

For details call Corinne Boone at 416-350-2177.


To Reach Cantor Environmental Brokerage or Cantor Environmental Brokerage Staff Call 800-228-2955 or Dial Direct:

Josh Margolis

San Francisco

RTCs/ERCs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 1

Andy Kruger

Darien, CT

ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 6

Laurie Gage

New Jersey

NOx &SO2 EAs/RTCs/ERCs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 7

Robin Langdon

San Francisco

RTCs/ERCs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 2

Christine Grandstaff

Los Angeles

RTCs/ERCs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 4

Patrick Bartosh

Houston

NOx EAs/ERCs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 13/14

Mike Hammond

San Francisco

RTCs/ERCs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 9

Lauren Kisling

Darien, CT

ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 6

Alexa Paton

Darien, CT

ERCs/NOx & SO2 EAs/DERs

800-228-2955 ext 6

Lori Oshiro

San Francisco

 

800-228-2955 ext 5

Mica Larimer

San Francisco

 

800-228-2955 ext 3

Ashley Noonan

Darien, CT

ERCs/NOx and SO2 EAs

800-228-2955 ext 15

For More Information Call (203) 662-3638.19 Old Kings Highway, South, Darien, Connecticut 06820Fax (203) 662-3643
www.emissionstrading.com

© 2002 Cantor Environmental Brokerage, L.P., All Rights Reserved.
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